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Mexican Americans Are Making WAY More Progress Than You Think (New Data)

Brian Duncan, Jeffrey Grogger, Ana Sofia Leon, Stephen J. Trejo

For decades, the common belief has been that Mexican Americans hit a wall after the second generation—education levels stalled, and the American Dream seemed out of reach. But a landmark 2017 study by Duncan, Grogger, Leon, and Trejo crushes that assumption. Using the NLSY97 dataset to track real family histories, they discovered that the 'stagnation' was a statistical illusion caused by ethnic attrition and generational mixing. The truth? Third-generation Mexican Americans now have an 84% high school graduation rate, nearly matching white Americans. This video breaks down the shocking data, explains why previous studies got it wrong, and reveals what this means for immigration debates today. Prepare to have everything you thought you knew challenged.

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