Politics & Governance / International Politics / War & Conflict
Why 87% of US Interventions Are Doomed from the Start (The 1/8 Illusion)
A RAND Corporation study led by Stephen Watts reveals a shocking truth about American foreign policy: the success of small-footprint interventions depends almost entirely on the partner government's political inclusivity and state capacity. The 'golden cases' like the Philippines and Colombia represent only 13% of conflicts, while 56% occur in environments where failure is nearly guaranteed. This deep dive explains the four-quadrant matrix that predicts outcomes, why building schools and hospitals can backfire, and the brutal logic behind massacres in weak states. Discover why the US keeps repeating the same mistakes from Vietnam to Afghanistan.
Site views and watch clicks are not YouTube play counts.
Comments
Comments are reviewed before publication. Do not include private information.